Real Market Drivers of the International Oil Markets

• Market outlook balance 2014 supply demand drivers
  • Market outlook balance 2015/2016 supply demand drivers
  • Refinery activity
  • Policie
• Financial drivers - Review of energy price behaviour, factors traders use
  • Key financial oil market triggers that affect daily market behaviou
• Geopolitics – political drivers of the market to watch out for
  • New dynamics in the middle east, china and africa

Benchmark Pricing

• Platts Window - Market on Close operation 
• Twice a day trading opportunity Physical/Financial Oil

Definition of derivatives 

• Futures, Swaps, Options 
• Combinations of options (structures)

Dated Brent v dubai structure

• Proven trading relationship
  • Arbitrage opportunities
• Futures data analysis for physical trade / refinery planning
• ICE Brent versus DME Oman
  

Brent v dubai v crack sgp 

• Forward price curve creation, practical development of forward pricing estimated value
• Hedging / Trading use of Crack Spreads

Oil price tactical analysis for hedging and trading 

• Learn how other Asian refiners and traders use the price analysis of the derivatives markets to improve supply chain decision making in the physical oil markets. 
• Learn an analytical system on international oil markets which can help you enhance your trading and hedging timing in Singapore MOPS Swaps markets.
  • Line, Bar and Candlestick charts, Support and resistance
  • Trading ranges, Tops/bottoms
  • Fibonacci retracement factors in Platts swaps and Financial markets
• Analysing Spread Charts

VIP (Volume, Open Interest & Price) 

• VIP Patterns supporting Price trends

Technical indicators

• Moving averages
• MACD
• Relative Strength Indicator (RSI)
• Stochastic
• Bollinger Bands
  

 Trading Methodologies & Approaches

• The magic number 3
• Pivot Numbers
• US Dollar Index 
• Combinations

Integrating the discussed analytical tools in to a combined strategy to enhance profit margins in the markets. Plus apply a proven method into the hedging mechanics using derivatives and supply chain decisions.

• cargo loading
• laycan delay 
• playing with the volume tolerance 
• booking inventory 

Where physical supply chain optimisation cannot help then Oil & Gas firms can further enhance their revenue management using Derivative trading and hedging strategies

Hedging & Trading scenarios

• Close out value - liquidity measures in OTC markets
• Evaluating the use of derivatives to control market risk and linking use to entity-wide and activity-level objectives (the risk matrix)
• Defining risk management activities and terms

Applying Swaps, Futures, Options in Hedging and trading scenarios

Practical interactive workshop

• Hedging with futures. Buyers and sellers long or short?
• Hedging with forward and swaps
• exotic oil swaps
• Review of options types
• Understanding option payoffs

Live Trading Sessions

• Speaker will login to a live trading platform and apply financial Oil market rules to highlight practical applications of what is taught in the sessions